Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 89.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 70.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Veleno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Veleno
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
49.2% (901)
-6.3%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
68.2% (22)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
49.8% (219)
-16.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kuraly
Home
40.7% (327)
51.7% (603)
Away
44.4% (324)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Veleno
Kuraly
P1
43.2%
50.9%
P2
42.0%
49.5%
P3
42.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |