Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 55.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Veleno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Veleno
Kuraly
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Veleno
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Veleno
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
51.5% (5,141)
-4.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
56.0% (100)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
44.2% (1,086)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kuraly
Home
45.3% (1,136)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Veleno
Kuraly
P1
48.0%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
49.9%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
35.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |