Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Veleno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
51.8% (444)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
45.3% (150)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kuraly
Home
49.6% (123)
54.6% (304)
Away
52.8% (178)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Veleno
Kuraly
P1
54.8%
55.2%
P2
49.2%
45.7%
P3
52.6%
49.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |