Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 70.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 82.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 62.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Ek
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ek
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Ek
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
61.2% (340)
-14.0%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
83.3% (6)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
56.0% (141)
-8.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Ek
Kastelic
Home
49.9% (693)
60.9% (233)
Away
47.2% (568)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Ek
Kastelic
P1
46.2%
58.6%
P2
52.6%
58.7%
P3
46.5%
63.1%
OT
54.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |