Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mark Kastelic
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 54.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Ek
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ek
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Ek
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
55.4% (345)
-7.8%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
50.0% (4)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
35.3% (17)
-0.4%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Ek shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Ek
Kastelic
Home
49.2% (331)
50.6% (162)
Away
45.7% (536)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Ek
Kastelic
P1
38.7%
61.5%
P2
52.9%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |