Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mark Kastelic
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 59.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 69.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Ek
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Ek
Kastelic
Last 9: Ek 6-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
0
Ek
Kastelic
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Ek
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Ek
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
58.0% (476)
-9.6%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
75.0% (8)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
50.9% (106)
-9.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Ek shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Ek
Kastelic
Home
50.1% (689)
64.9% (265)
Away
48.6% (697)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Ek
Kastelic
P1
49.5%
58.5%
P2
49.3%
55.6%
P3
48.9%
56.8%
Final 5 min
47.0%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |