Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Ek
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Ek
Kastelic
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
8
0
Ek
Kastelic
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Ek
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Ek
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
57.0% (1,613)
-9.7%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
80.0% (25)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
53.6% (274)
-13.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,240).
Ek shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Ek
Kastelic
Home
48.6% (4,644)
58.9% (895)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Ek
Kastelic
P1
46.6%
58.5%
P2
49.4%
56.9%
P3
46.7%
55.3%
OT
53.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |