Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ek wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.6% vs Duchene 55.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 63.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 91.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 74.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Ek
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Ek
Duchene
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Ek
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Ek
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Ek
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (647)
56.0% (579)
-8.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
59.3% (108)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
25.0% (8)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ek is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Ek shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Ek
Duchene
Home
45.8% (432)
54.9% (375)
Away
46.6% (363)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Ek
Duchene
P1
47.0%
58.3%
P2
46.2%
56.7%
P3
45.1%
53.1%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |