Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Duchene 52.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 79.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 60.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Ek
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ek
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Ek
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
46.9% (162)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
73.2% (56)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
100.0% (2)
-59.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Ek shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Ek
Duchene
Home
49.1% (740)
58.4% (125)
Away
46.1% (725)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Ek
Duchene
P1
47.6%
56.9%
P2
48.9%
52.5%
P3
45.4%
51.9%
OT
60.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |