Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 74.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Ek
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ek
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
56.5% (566)
-8.8%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
61.3% (62)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
22.2% (9)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Ek
Duchene
Home
48.3% (801)
56.6% (318)
Away
51.1% (801)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Ek
Duchene
P1
50.2%
57.2%
P2
50.1%
55.1%
P3
49.3%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |