Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Sturm 57.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 77.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 66.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 72.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Ek
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ek
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Ek
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Ek
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
62.1% (356)
-14.5%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
75.0% (4)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
38.7% (62)
-3.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
49.2% (331)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.7% (536)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
38.7%
58.0%
P2
52.9%
57.9%
P3
48.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |