Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Sturm 53.6% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Ek 75.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 69.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Ek
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
54.6% (271)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
54.4% (90)
-6.6%
On even strength, Sturm has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
49.9% (693)
53.0% (168)
Away
47.2% (568)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
46.2%
58.2%
P2
52.6%
53.2%
P3
46.5%
52.3%
OT
54.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%