Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Roy 48.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 52.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Ek
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Ek
Roy
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ek
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Ek
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
49.5% (746)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
50.7% (75)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
42.7% (110)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Ek shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Ek
Roy
Home
49.1% (740)
47.7% (491)
Away
46.1% (725)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Ek
Roy
P1
47.6%
51.1%
P2
48.9%
44.6%
P3
45.4%
50.9%
OT
60.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |