Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Ek
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ek
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
51.9% (547)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
54.1% (37)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
53.3% (92)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Ek
Roy
Home
49.9% (693)
54.0% (328)
Away
47.2% (568)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Ek
Roy
P1
46.2%
53.5%
P2
52.6%
51.6%
P3
46.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |