Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.7%). Ek wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Roy 47.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 57.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Ek
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ek
Roy
Last 7: Ek 3-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Ek
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
48.6% (679)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
48.0% (50)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
34.7% (49)
+0.2%
On power play, Ek has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Ek shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Ek
Roy
Home
49.2% (331)
49.3% (345)
Away
45.7% (536)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Ek
Roy
P1
38.7%
47.6%
P2
52.9%
47.1%
P3
48.8%
47.9%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |