Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Cates 45.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 56.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 53.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Ek
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ek
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
44.3% (271)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
77.8% (18)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
31.7% (41)
+9.8%
On power play, Cates has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Ek
Cates
Home
48.3% (801)
52.0% (148)
Away
51.1% (801)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Ek
Cates
P1
50.2%
42.7%
P2
50.1%
42.9%
P3
49.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Noah Cates |