Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 86.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 80.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 83.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
17
(23 meetings)
6
17
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ek 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
10
Ek
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Ek
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
55.4% (826)
-8.2%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
57.9% (221)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
50.4% (129)
-2.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
49.9% (693)
55.8% (579)
Away
47.2% (568)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
52.6%
54.8%
P3
46.5%
54.3%
OT
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 02:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |