Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 85 meetings). Ek wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 135-76 in 211 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 94.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 94.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 94.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
135
(211 meetings)
76
135
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ek 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
25
60
Ek
O'Reilly
85 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
20
33
Ek
O'Reilly
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
31
42
Ek
O'Reilly
73 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
56.2% (15,260)
-8.9%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
51.4% (2,811)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
48.6% (4,644)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
46.6%
55.6%
P2
49.4%
57.0%
P3
46.7%
55.1%
OT
53.8%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 02:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |