Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 73.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 74.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 72.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
24
(40 meetings)
16
24
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ek 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
12
Ek
O'Reilly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
2
Ek
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
10
Ek
O'Reilly
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.3%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
56.8% (303)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
40.3% (149)
+1.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (801)
54.8% (759)
Away
51.1% (801)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
55.3%
P2
50.1%
51.9%
P3
49.3%
54.2%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.7%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | OT | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |