Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 68.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 9: Ek 3-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Ek
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Ek
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
56.1% (690)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
64.6% (96)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
45.9% (109)
-4.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
50.1% (689)
58.3% (408)
Away
48.6% (697)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
57.7%
P2
49.3%
54.8%
P3
48.9%
55.2%
OT
53.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |