Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.8%). Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.6% vs Carrick 48.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 63.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 58.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Ek
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ek
Carrick
Last 8: Ek 5-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Ek
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (647)
46.7% (60)
+0.7%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
42.9% (7)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
40.0% (5)
-1.6%
On power play, Ek has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ek is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Ek shoots left. Carrick is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Ek
Carrick
Home
45.8% (432)
46.2% (13)
Away
46.6% (363)
45.8% (59)
By Period
Ek
Carrick
P1
47.0%
52.6%
P2
46.2%
45.8%
P3
45.1%
41.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |