Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 69.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Ek
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Carrick
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
53.9% (521)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
57.1% (35)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
51.5% (229)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Ek shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Ek
Carrick
Home
48.3% (801)
52.7% (408)
Away
51.1% (801)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Ek
Carrick
P1
50.2%
51.4%
P2
50.1%
56.6%
P3
49.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |