Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Carrick 53.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Ek
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ek
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
55.1% (439)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
66.7% (3)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
49.1% (53)
-1.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Ek
Carrick
Home
49.9% (693)
58.2% (225)
Away
47.2% (568)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Ek
Carrick
P1
46.2%
56.7%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
46.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |