Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%). Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 72.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Ek
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ek
Carrick
Last 7: Ek 4-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
0
Ek
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Ek
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
49.2% (307)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
66.7% (6)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
48.2% (56)
-6.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Ek shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Ek
Carrick
Home
50.1% (689)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.6% (697)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Ek
Carrick
P1
49.5%
41.0%
P2
49.3%
51.2%
P3
48.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |