Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 55.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Tavares
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Newhook
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
60.9% (1,043)
-25.7%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
60.4% (278)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
38.1% (189)
63.5% (684)
Away
31.5% (203)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
33.9%
60.3%
P2
36.3%
60.4%
P3
33.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
34.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |