Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jarnkrok
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
5
4
Jarnkrok
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
5
2
Jarnkrok
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
56.5% (4,283)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
50.6% (620)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
50.6% (2,261)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
47.7%
55.0%
P2
48.0%
54.1%
P3
48.8%
54.1%
OT
40.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |