Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Tavares 54.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Stepan
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Stepan
Tavares
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
5
Stepan
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
2
Stepan
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stepan
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
54.5% (692)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
59.1% (149)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
54.5% (11)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Stepan shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Stepan
Tavares
Home
46.0% (113)
57.9% (404)
Away
53.1% (147)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Stepan
Tavares
P1
48.5%
54.2%
P2
49.4%
55.1%
P3
52.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |