Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.8% vs Tavares 54.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.6%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 69.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Gambrell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gambrell
Tavares
Last 6: Gambrell 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Gambrell
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (303)
54.8% (861)
-8.6%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
57.5% (226)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
51.7% (29)
-2.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Gambrell shoots right. Tavares is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Tavares
Home
42.6% (188)
58.1% (559)
Away
49.5% (182)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Gambrell
Tavares
P1
46.1%
57.6%
P2
53.5%
55.5%
P3
37.5%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |