Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.6%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs Tavares 50.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.9%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Benn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Benn
Tavares
Last 7: Benn 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Benn
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
48.7% (1,202)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
59.3% (305)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
47.9% (121)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Benn is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Benn shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Benn
Tavares
Home
52.4% (212)
52.1% (841)
Away
50.5% (200)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Benn
Tavares
P1
55.8%
52.2%
P2
45.0%
50.7%
P3
53.4%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |