Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Danforth 52.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 56.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Tavares
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Tavares
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
54.3% (162)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (10)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
51.9% (27)
-4.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danforth
Home
63.5% (684)
51.9% (81)
Away
57.6% (658)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Tavares
Danforth
P1
60.3%
49.2%
P2
60.4%
50.8%
P3
60.1%
62.9%
OT
92.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |