Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Danforth 49.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.8%
Defensive zone
Danforth 79.4%
Neutral zone
Danforth 59.2%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Tavares
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Tavares
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Tavares
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
50.5% (546)
+7.2%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
50.0% (14)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
43.6% (101)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danforth
Home
59.7% (610)
51.1% (315)
Away
57.0% (698)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Tavares
Danforth
P1
57.2%
49.5%
P2
58.5%
51.4%
P3
59.4%
46.6%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |