Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +25.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kolesar 46.8% (+25.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 52.8%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Tavares
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
0
1
Tavares
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
30.4% (23)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
100.0% (1)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Kolesar has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Kolesar is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kolesar
Home
61.0% (661)
33.3% (18)
Away
55.3% (584)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Tavares
Kolesar
P1
58.6%
12.5%
P2
57.8%
57.1%
P3
58.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
80.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |