Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+24.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Tavares
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
34.4% (535)
+24.8%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
42.9% (21)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
40.0% (5)
+2.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Tavares
Carlsson
Home
57.5% (668)
38.6% (254)
Away
61.1% (684)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Tavares
Carlsson
P1
58.0%
35.9%
P2
60.1%
33.8%
P3
61.0%
34.3%
OT
27.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%