Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Couture 48.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 40-16 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 86.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 93.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Tavares
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
16
(56 meetings)
40
16
Tavares
Couture
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
22
3
Tavares
Couture
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
3
Tavares
Couture
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
10
Tavares
Couture
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
48.8% (8,919)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
54.6% (624)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
39.8% (992)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
56.1% (10,389)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
55.1%
47.9%
P2
54.1%
47.9%
P3
54.0%
49.2%
OT
56.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |