Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Couture 48.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Tavares
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Couture
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
48.7% (986)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
58.5% (94)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
44.1% (195)
+3.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
63.5% (684)
47.2% (625)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
60.3%
46.8%
P2
60.4%
49.8%
P3
60.1%
49.8%
OT
92.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |