Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Couture 49.0% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 51.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Tavares
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
44.9% (78)
+14.3%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
63.6% (11)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
57.5% (668)
45.2% (62)
Away
61.1% (684)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
58.0%
55.2%
P2
60.1%
44.4%
P3
61.0%
50.0%
OT
27.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%