Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Couture 47.6% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Tavares
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Tavares
Couture
Last 8: Tavares 7-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
1
Tavares
Couture
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
49.2% (1,083)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
56.7% (60)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
35.4% (206)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
61.0% (661)
49.6% (713)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
58.6%
47.2%
P2
57.8%
45.0%
P3
58.4%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |