Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.4%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Couture 51.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Tavares
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Couture
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Tavares
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Couture
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
51.4% (775)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
59.0% (78)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
39.1% (46)
-2.4%
On power play, Couture has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
52.8% (781)
53.3% (407)
Away
49.9% (804)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
52.8%
49.8%
P2
52.1%
53.3%
P3
48.7%
51.2%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |