Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Backlund 50.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Tavares
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Tavares
Backlund
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
2
Tavares
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
2
Tavares
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
51.1% (1,070)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
50.5% (91)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
45.2% (248)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Tavares
Backlund
Home
55.0% (864)
49.3% (702)
Away
50.8% (862)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Tavares
Backlund
P1
51.8%
46.3%
P2
51.4%
53.8%
P3
54.5%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |