Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Marner 50.8% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.1%
Defensive zone
Marner 61.2%
Neutral zone
Marner 53.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Tavares
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
57.1% (7)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
54.5% (11)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tavares
Marner
Home
63.5% (684)
44.4% (9)
Away
57.6% (658)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Tavares
Marner
P1
60.3%
80.0%
P2
60.4%
44.4%
P3
60.1%
33.3%
OT
92.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%