Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +28.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Marner 44.8% (+28.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.0%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Tavares
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
33.3% (24)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
20.0% (10)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Tavares
Marner
Home
59.7% (610)
16.7% (18)
Away
57.0% (698)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Tavares
Marner
P1
57.2%
10.0%
P2
58.5%
35.7%
P3
59.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%