Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Tavares
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Tavares
Dowd
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
1
Tavares
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Tavares
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Tavares
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
55.2% (625)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
57.1% (7)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
38.2% (220)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dowd
Home
61.0% (661)
53.7% (445)
Away
55.3% (584)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Tavares
Dowd
P1
58.6%
48.8%
P2
57.8%
49.3%
P3
58.4%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |