Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Colton 48.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Tavares
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
45.5% (88)
+12.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
71.4% (7)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Tavares
Colton
Home
57.8% (614)
44.7% (47)
Away
57.8% (554)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Tavares
Colton
P1
58.0%
52.8%
P2
56.9%
47.1%
P3
58.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |