Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Colton 51.8% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Tavares
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Colton
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
52.7% (524)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.9% (53)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
0.0% (4)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Tavares
Colton
Home
63.5% (684)
52.9% (291)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Tavares
Colton
P1
60.3%
50.6%
P2
60.4%
54.4%
P3
60.1%
51.6%
OT
92.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |