Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Colton 45.2% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 65.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.0%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Tavares
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Tavares
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
41.3% (75)
+16.4%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
35.3% (17)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
40.0% (5)
+16.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Tavares
Colton
Home
59.7% (610)
42.9% (49)
Away
57.0% (698)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Tavares
Colton
P1
57.2%
48.9%
P2
58.5%
33.3%
P3
59.4%
31.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ross Colton |