Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 57.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Tavares
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Tavares
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
49.4% (1,010)
+11.5%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
62.3% (236)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
67.2% (67)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johansen
Home
63.5% (684)
54.7% (655)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Tavares
Johansen
P1
60.3%
52.2%
P2
60.4%
50.7%
P3
60.1%
54.8%
OT
92.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |