Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Tavares
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
47.8% (448)
+13.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
48.1% (52)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
36.0% (25)
+11.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Tavares
McLeod
Home
63.5% (684)
46.6% (253)
Away
57.6% (658)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Tavares
McLeod
P1
60.3%
43.9%
P2
60.4%
45.9%
P3
60.1%
52.1%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |