Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs McLeod 50.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Tavares
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Tavares
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
51.3% (628)
+7.9%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
68.3% (41)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
30.6% (49)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Tavares
McLeod
Home
57.5% (668)
51.5% (394)
Away
61.1% (684)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Tavares
McLeod
P1
58.0%
51.5%
P2
60.1%
47.0%
P3
61.0%
54.3%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |