Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 79.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Tavares
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Tavares
Strome
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
44.1% (749)
+16.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
46.2% (52)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
52.9% (17)
-5.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Tavares
Strome
Home
63.5% (684)
45.1% (441)
Away
57.6% (658)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Tavares
Strome
P1
60.3%
42.9%
P2
60.4%
44.4%
P3
60.1%
45.8%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |