Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Strome 44.4% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 61.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 72.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Tavares
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Tavares
Strome
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Tavares
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Tavares
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
43.0% (788)
+14.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
47.9% (96)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
50.0% (34)
+9.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Tavares
Strome
Home
61.0% (661)
42.6% (486)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Tavares
Strome
P1
58.6%
41.0%
P2
57.8%
47.8%
P3
58.4%
42.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |